Colliers recently issued a profile of the Top 25 U.S. office markets, which observed that net absorption fell into negative territory for the first time in a decade and vacancy rates posted their sharpest increase over…
Author: Kurt Stout
Long-Term Leased Assets Now More Plentiful, Yet Older
From its peak in 2013, the number of long-term GSA-leased properties declined steadily for four years before stabilizing. But only in the past year has that portion of the property inventory started to recover. This trend…
GSA’s Progress Toward Long-Term Leasing
GSA’s effort toward execution of long-term leases has been a popular topic among investors. Going back to the earliest days of this blog, we observed that the remaining term of GSA leases was dwindling. When GSA…
U.S. Office Absorption Turns Negative for the First Time in 10 Years
In the category of not-unexpected-but-still-bad-news, Colliers issued its Q2 2020 Office Market Outlook last week reporting that U.S. office absorption turned negative for the first time in a decade. National office demand was negative 13.6 million…
The Specter of Deflation and What it Means for GSA Lessors
One well-known quirk of GSA leases is that operating cost reimbursements are not based on increases in actual costs. Rather, they are calculated on the increase in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and…
Can We Expect the Government Sector to Outperform? Lessons from the Last Fiscal Crisis
Kevin Warsh, a Federal Reserve governor during the Great Recession, noted in a Wall Street Journal op-ed earlier this year, “If you’ve seen one financial crisis, you’ve seen one financial crisis.” That is to say, all…
The Congressional Budget Office Reports on Federal Investment
With the recent surge in congressional activity towards infrastructure spending it is worth noting a Congressional Budget Office (CBO) report released in June entitled Federal Investment, 1962 to 2018. That report provides a great overview of…
SIOR Conference Presentation
Last week the Society of Industrial and Office Realtors (SIOR) held its Spring World Conference in Washington, DC. I was fortunate to be asked to participate in a panel discussion entitled “Federal Real Estate Opportunities” alongside,…
Long-Term GSA-Leased Properties Are Stabilizing
The predominant federal leasing trend since the Great Recession is that the GSA-leased space inventory is shrinking. Though this overall inventory reduction has been occurring at a relatively moderate pace, the number of long-term leased properties…
Nation’s Capital Bears the Brunt of Most GSA Lease Downsizing
Since the end of 2012, GSA has been actively working to reduce the size of its leased footprint. Progress has been modest but consistent. At its December 2012 zenith, GSA leased 198.6 million square feet of space…